This page illustrates technically optimized rural electrification scenarios (modelling) for the five following states in Nigeria: Cross River, Niger, Ogun, Plateau and Sokoto. The presented scenarios are meant to support informed policy and planning decisions, but do not represent official planning. Click here for further information.
The results as presented represent a least-cost geo-spatial electrification modelling prepared by the Nigerian Energy Support Programme (NESP) jointly financed by the European Union and the German Government. Their aim was to identify optimized pathways for universal electrification. As such, they do not represent the plans of the Federal or State Governments, nor do they have any binding character.
The results, as shown, are meant to guide policy makers and electrification planners in their decisions with regards to the development of optimized promotion mechanisms for privately-led off-grid renewable energy mini-grids, grid extension or small scale systems (e.g. solar home systems), where appropriate. They shall contribute to a better coordination and harmonization between the public and the private sector in Nigeria’s unbundled and partly privatized electricity market, where the federal and states governments have the mandate to promote rural electrification.
The results of the modelling for the states of Cross River, Niger, Ogun, Plateau and Sokoto are based on an integrated planning methodology. While off-grid renewable energy mini-grids are the preferred technology, grid extension is only proposed for the time when generation capacities have sufficiently increased (after phase 1). Currently, power generation is not meeting demands, which is why no grid extensions projects were foreseen in phase 1.
The approach also foresees that off-gird renewable energy mini-grids, which will take a central role in the electrification of larger settlements in Nigeria for the years to come, may later be integrated into the main grid. Where neither mini-grid or grid extension appear feasible for economic reasons, ‘small scale systems’ are proposed. These may be Solar Home Systems (SHS) in most cases, but could also include nano-grids or community-based micro-grids for areas with assumed peak demands <50 kW.
This work is the results of the collaboration between the Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ) GmbH and the Federal Ministry of Power, Works and Housing under the Nigerian Energy Support Programme (Co-funded) by the German Government and the European Union. The tool was developed by INTEGRATION Environment & Energy and the Reiner Lemoine Institute.
The geographical maps are for informational purposes only and do not constitute recognition of international boundaries or regions; GIZ makes no claims concerning the validity, accuracy or completeness of the maps nor assumes any liability resulting from the use of the information therein.
This tool was produced with the financial assistance of the European Union and the German. The views expressed herein can in no way be taken to reflect the official opinion of the European Union or the German Government.